Lululemon Athletica Inc.
Lululemon sells athletic clothes meant to be worn outside the workout as well. Nike, Adidas and newer brands, such as Alo and Vuori, sell into the same use. It did not create the category by decree. Nulu is a fabric it sells. It is not a patent that closes the market. This report does not state a gross margin.
It sells mostly in its own store and on its own site. Wholesale exists too. If inventory does not sell, there is a markdown, and the markdown takes the margin. One market, China or another, can slow. The community is marketing: the customer can leave for another brand.
Cash follows that sale minus the garment left in the store. A strong fashion year is not normal earnings. It is not a 55 percent margin.
"The advantage is the customer who already buys the garment in a Lululemon store and comes back for the size. They can leave. The moat narrows if the clothes have to be marked down, or if another brand takes the same use."
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Health is debt against apparel inventory, not against a captive community. Quality is the margin after the markdown, not a gross margin already measured. Growth follows stores and online sales, and it slows if a market stops. P/E is read against a strong fashion year, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return, if any, comes out of that cash. Do not read it as a patented fabric that closes the category.
The P/E of a year without markdowns is not the earnings when inventory does not sell. EV/EBITDA is read without treating direct sales as if wholesale did not exist. Do not use Nike's multiple, which lives on more sports and more channels. A dash if the LULU cache is cold.
Not advice on Lululemon. Vaultflake states neither a margin nor an exclusive fabric. This is not the brand that created the category. Read the filings. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
The advantage is the customer who already buys the garment in a Lululemon store and comes back for the size. They can leave. The moat narrows if the clothes have to be marked down, or if another brand takes the same use.
Health is debt against apparel inventory, not against a captive community. Quality is the margin after the markdown, not a gross margin already measured. Growth follows stores and online sales, and it slows if a market stops. P/E is read against a strong fashion year, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return, if any, comes out of that cash. Do not read it as a patented fabric that closes the category.
The P/E of a year without markdowns is not the earnings when inventory does not sell. EV/EBITDA is read without treating direct sales as if wholesale did not exist. Do not use Nike's multiple, which lives on more sports and more channels. A dash if the LULU cache is cold.
Not advice on Lululemon. Vaultflake states neither a margin nor an exclusive fabric. This is not the brand that created the category. Read the filings. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
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