TotalEnergies SE
TotalEnergies sells oil, gas, refining and a renewables book. The barrel's margin is not the electricity's. Shell and other houses sell liquefied gas. It is not the most pragmatic energy company, and the shareholder return is not already measured. This report does not call the valuation attractive.
The dividend has to fit after spending on both books. A year of expensive crude, or of a lot of sun and wind, is not normal earnings. Refining rises and falls apart from the well. A renewables investment may not earn what it cost to build.
Cash is that mix. It is not a liquefied-gas scale that nobody else has.
"The advantage is the gas contract already placed and the refining network that already exists. The power book is another one. The moat narrows if the barrel falls, or if the electricity does not cover what it cost to build."
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Health is the debt of the two books, hydrocarbons and electricity, not a year of crude already collected. Quality separates the well margin from refining and from renewables. Growth follows the barrel price and what the electricity produces, and they are not the same cycle. P/E is read against a year of expensive crude, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not call it a very high return.
The P/E of a high-barrel year is not the earnings of the power year. EV/EBITDA is read without adding another house's liquefied gas as if it were Total's. Do not use Shell's multiple as if the renewables book did not change the mix. A dash if TTE.PA is missing.
Not advice on TotalEnergies. Vaultflake does not treat the return as high or the valuation as attractive. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
The advantage is the gas contract already placed and the refining network that already exists. The power book is another one. The moat narrows if the barrel falls, or if the electricity does not cover what it cost to build.
Health is the debt of the two books, hydrocarbons and electricity, not a year of crude already collected. Quality separates the well margin from refining and from renewables. Growth follows the barrel price and what the electricity produces, and they are not the same cycle. P/E is read against a year of expensive crude, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not call it a very high return.
The P/E of a high-barrel year is not the earnings of the power year. EV/EBITDA is read without adding another house's liquefied gas as if it were Total's. Do not use Shell's multiple as if the renewables book did not change the mix. A dash if TTE.PA is missing.
Not advice on TotalEnergies. Vaultflake does not treat the return as high or the valuation as attractive. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
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