Diageo plc
Diageo sells spirits and beer: Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, Tanqueray, Baileys, Don Julio. Pernod Ricard does the spirits trade under other brands. It is not the largest producer on earth by decree.
Whisky ties up cash in the cask. Beer does not age the same way: do not mix the two legs. The year follows volume and price, in the bar and in the shop. A year of destocking is not normal earnings. Distribution into hospitality is a relationship, and it gets lost. This report does not count two decades of a rising dividend.
The dividend comes from the cash the inventory leaves. It has to fit. It is not a toll on the bar.
"The advantage is the brand the customer already asks for and, in whisky, the liquid already in the cask. Pernod competes for the same glass. The moat narrows if volume moves to another brand, or if the bar changes distributor."
Loading the Vaultflake…
—
Health is debt against liquid inventory and brands, not against an empty factory. Quality separates the spirits margin from beer's. Growth follows volume and price. P/E is read against a good selling year, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not read it as a streak already closed.
The P/E of a restocking year is not normal earnings. EV/EBITDA is read with the whisky in cask inside and without treating Guinness as if it were the same inventory. Do not use Pernod's multiple as if the brand portfolio were the same. A dash if the DGE.L cache is cold.
Not advice on Diageo. Vaultflake does not count dividend years and does not treat the brand as captive. This is not the largest producer. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
The advantage is the brand the customer already asks for and, in whisky, the liquid already in the cask. Pernod competes for the same glass. The moat narrows if volume moves to another brand, or if the bar changes distributor.
Health is debt against liquid inventory and brands, not against an empty factory. Quality separates the spirits margin from beer's. Growth follows volume and price. P/E is read against a good selling year, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not read it as a streak already closed.
The P/E of a restocking year is not normal earnings. EV/EBITDA is read with the whisky in cask inside and without treating Guinness as if it were the same inventory. Do not use Pernod's multiple as if the brand portfolio were the same. A dash if the DGE.L cache is cold.
Not advice on Diageo. Vaultflake does not count dividend years and does not treat the brand as captive. This is not the largest producer. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
Consumer Staples · Beverages
Consumer Staples · Household Products
Consumer Staples · Food and Beverages
Consumer Staples · Supermarkets
Consumer Staples · Snacks and Beverages
Consumer Staples · Membership Warehouses
A free account opens the interactive chart. The Vault assistant is Premium.