Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
Bristol-Myers sells medicines in oncology, hematology and immunology. Eliquis, the anticoagulant, is sold with Pfizer: the sale is not all Bristol's. Opdivo competes with Merck's Keytruda and with other immunotherapies. It is not a commercial force another lab cannot match on one product.
The patent on a medicine that already sells ends. Some of what it used to sell has already lost that exclusivity, and that year's cash does not repeat on its own. This report does not date it. Acquisitions leave debt. The dividend has to fit after that debt and after development. A year of patent pricing is not normal earnings.
The result is that portfolio minus what is shared and what expires. It is not a guaranteed defensive stream.
"The advantage is the doctor who already prescribes Eliquis or Opdivo and the payer who already covers them. Pfizer keeps a piece of Eliquis. The moat narrows when the patent ends, or when another medicine takes the same use."
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Health is the debt acquisitions left, not the balance sheet of a lab with no deal history. Quality separates Bristol's piece of Eliquis from Opdivo's margin, which competes. Growth follows whatever replaces what loses exclusivity, not the old portfolio. P/E is read against a year of a live patent, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not call it a predictable dividend.
The P/E of a year before the patent lapses is not the earnings after. EV/EBITDA is read without treating the Eliquis sale as if it were all Bristol's. Do not use Merck's multiple as if Keytruda and Opdivo were the same book. A dash if BMY is missing.
Not advice on Bristol-Myers. Vaultflake does not date the loss of exclusivity or treat the dividend as safe. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
The advantage is the doctor who already prescribes Eliquis or Opdivo and the payer who already covers them. Pfizer keeps a piece of Eliquis. The moat narrows when the patent ends, or when another medicine takes the same use.
Health is the debt acquisitions left, not the balance sheet of a lab with no deal history. Quality separates Bristol's piece of Eliquis from Opdivo's margin, which competes. Growth follows whatever replaces what loses exclusivity, not the old portfolio. P/E is read against a year of a live patent, not against that year as normal. Shareholder return is the dividend, checked against cash. Do not call it a predictable dividend.
The P/E of a year before the patent lapses is not the earnings after. EV/EBITDA is read without treating the Eliquis sale as if it were all Bristol's. Do not use Merck's multiple as if Keytruda and Opdivo were the same book. A dash if BMY is missing.
Not advice on Bristol-Myers. Vaultflake does not date the loss of exclusivity or treat the dividend as safe. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is a snapshot, not a target price.
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