Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Gallagher is a commercial insurance broker. It grows by placing policies and by buying local brokers. Marsh and Aon weigh more in the large risk of the multinational. Here the weight is integrating those brokerages. Buying is not growing: the integration can fail and the debt of the purchase stays.
The commission follows the premium and the retention of the local client. Both figures are in the accounts. This report does not state thirty years of dividends and does not say the growth is relentless. Organic growth and growth that arrives with a purchase are not the same thing.
The dividend has to fit after interest and after the next purchase.
"The advantage is the local broker the client already knows and the network that gets a better price by pooling volume. The hometown client can leave. The purchase does not create the moat until the integration works. It narrows if too much is paid for the brokerage, or if the premium cycle falls."
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Health is the debt of the purchases. Looking high can be the model of growing by buying, and it can also be too high a price. Quality separates the organic margin from the one that arrives with the acquisition. Growth has to be read without the purchase. The P/E of a year of many integrations is not the P/E of a quiet year. Shareholder return is the dividend, crossed with what is left after servicing the debt.
A P/E that ignores what was paid for the brokerages is incomplete. EV carries that debt inside. Do not use Marsh's multiple as if the client were the same. A dash means AJG is missing.
Not advice on AJG. Vaultflake does not split organic growth and acquisitions or count brokerages. This is not a dividend streak. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is cache, not a live quote.
The advantage is the local broker the client already knows and the network that gets a better price by pooling volume. The hometown client can leave. The purchase does not create the moat until the integration works. It narrows if too much is paid for the brokerage, or if the premium cycle falls.
Health is the debt of the purchases. Looking high can be the model of growing by buying, and it can also be too high a price. Quality separates the organic margin from the one that arrives with the acquisition. Growth has to be read without the purchase. The P/E of a year of many integrations is not the P/E of a quiet year. Shareholder return is the dividend, crossed with what is left after servicing the debt.
A P/E that ignores what was paid for the brokerages is incomplete. EV carries that debt inside. Do not use Marsh's multiple as if the client were the same. A dash means AJG is missing.
Not advice on AJG. Vaultflake does not split organic growth and acquisitions or count brokerages. This is not a dividend streak. Read the filings. A past dividend is not a right. The table is cache, not a live quote.
Financials · Diversified Banking
Financials · Diversified Banking
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Financials · Investment Banking
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